Count me in for $10. Whether or not the crazies are running our Iran policy or not is beside the point. The Politics of Terra Terra Terra will dictate that Iran gets mentioned in tonight's SOTU, no matter what our policy is. Of course one problem with that is red meat domestic politics from our leaders ("Iran is evil!") makes sensible diplomacy as difficult as Iran's version of domestic red meat politics ("Holocaust is a myth!") does.* But I don't expect that to bother Bush's speechwriters much, or him.
*Obligatory troll dislcaimer: not equating the two statements, just comparing the role they play in each country's respective domestic politics.