I'm sensible to realize this campaign isn't actually about me and me feefees and my level of entertainment and whether or not I'm enjoying. Still it's my sorta job to pay attention to all of this crap, and the next few months are going to be excruciating. Gore won or almost won in 2000. Whatever one thinks of Kerry, he doesn't get enough credit for coming pretty damn close to winning in 2004. 2008 was a bit of a nailbiter, at least until Palin was brought on board (pretty sure I saw what a catastrophe she was for McCain pretty early, even as starbursts were traveling up the legs of the media-political industrial complex). You had to unskew the polls to find a plausible path to victory for Mittens (and Paul Ryan? that was hilarious!).
In 2016, Trump probably won't win. But he can win. Don't think otherwise.