In late 1994 and early 1995, President Clinton was in free fall. His aides despaired. They worried he might never recover from the shellacking the Democrats took in the 1994 mid-term elections. His approval ratings were mired in the 30's, and seemed unlikely to rise.
As we can see from this handy chart, Clinton's approval ratings were not "mired in the 30s." "Mired in the 40s," with a couple sub-40 and 50+ outliers would be an accurate description.
In addition, Clinton's disapproval ratings were much lower than Bush's, hovering at around just over 50.
Compare the above chart to this one.
Try again, Jay.
(ht reader T)
...other errors noted by various commenters:
The Vice President (otherwise known as the President of the Senate) and Speaker of the House sit behind the president at the SOTU, not the Senate Majority Leader.
Clinton never had to "recover" from Monica, unless polls in the high 50s and 60s are something you have to recover from.
Carney asserts that Bush, instead of talking about Iraq, will please voters by talking about "issues that matter to them." 48% of people, way above any other single issue, say Iraq is the most important issue.