One thing that's occasionally maddening is when DC-centric people beat back arguments about what should happen with assertions about what will/what is likely to happen. Basically stuff like, "why are you talking about that platinum coin hippie? here's why it won't happen." It's all very wise and knowing and insidery and condescending. Look, silly person, I have the inside scoop. You're wasting your time.
The platinum coin isn't the only issue this happens with. There are others. For a couple of days there "not bombing Syria" was one of those things.
It's not that there's no value in knowing what's possible or likely, it's that it isn't an argument against the value of the proposition. Most things which should happen don't. We talk about them anyway.