I refuse to get invested in possibilities based on early vote totals.
...Roy Cooper wins NC.
...Dem Governor Bottoms in Georgia.
Tuesday, November 03, 2026
The Online Right's Closing Election Message
If you have any idea what this stuff means (I do, sort of) then I am very sorry.
Will He Get A Pardon
Maybe I can bet on that at one of those betting sites.
Washington — An Oklahoma man faces federal charges after allegedly sending hundreds of letters containing white powder to public officials and media outlets ahead of both the 2024 and 2026 elections.
According to charging documents unsealed on Tuesday, Robin Patrick Martin allegedly sent more than 700 envelopes to public officials of both parties across the country. Authorities said the powder contained in the envelopes was nontoxic and said the envelopes had messages written in UV-reactive ink, not easily seen by the naked eye.
Martin is charged with one count of conveying false or misleading information and hoaxes and another count of mailing threatening communications. It wasn't immediately clear whether Martin had been taken into custody.
According to an FBI affidavit, Martin "described perceived issues with the 2020 election, claimed that President Donald Trump won the 2020 election, and voiced concerns regarding some of the same issues recurring in the then-upcoming 2024 election."
Just a patriot.
COUNT FASTER
At some point I switched from going to bed at 1am to going to bed at 10pm (generally) and I am not looking forward to having to stay up very late.
Yes I know the polls haven't closed yet, except in Guam I guess.
Pete's Warfighters
They don't like him much.
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth had a similar approval rating. Roughly 45% of respondents said they approved of him, while 50% said they disapproved.
The kid of a friend is in the military, and while I don't think this person's opinion (hates Pete) is anything but anecdote, I do get the sense that hating Pete is a perfectly normal thing to do. It isn't an opinion people feel they have to hide.
Matt Drudge No Longer Rules Our World
I was thinking about how, in the old days, election day activities for liberal bloggers would including monitoring Drudge to see what nonsense he was trying to feed to cable news. Things like BROKEN VOTING MACHINE IN WHITE GEORGIA PRECINT or SCARY BLACK MEN SEEN AT POLLS.
Back then, everything would jump right from Drudge to cable news. He was their assignment editor.
Back then, Drudge was a conservative warrior.
He is no longer that. It seems he hates Trump as much as any normie lib does.
My "This Is Not Anti-Muslim" T-Shirt Has People Asking A Lot Of Questions
Coates (read the whole thing):
When Michigan congresswoman Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers yesterday, she offered a curious framing. “I’m choosing country over hate,” Stevens claimed. “This is not anti-Muslim at all.”
Monday, November 02, 2026
The Maine Women
Once upon a time Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins were both senators from Maine. I'm not going to give Snowe much credit, either, but she was occasionally the moderate that Collins has long pretended to be, while Collins has only ever been a moderate when she was sure her vote wouldn't matter.
Collins has always benefitted from compliant journalists portraying her as she wishes to be portrayed. I am not going to place any bets against her tomorrow, but her losing would be satisfying!
Hopium
I don't know how good Larry's crystal ball prediction ever is, but there it is.
HOUSE: 239 at least Leans Democratic, 196 at least Leans Republican (D+24)
SENATE: 53 at least Leans Democratic, 47 at least Leans Republican (D+6)
GOVERNORS: 28 at least Leans Democratic, 22 at least Leans Republican (D+4)
The D Senate seat flips are: Maine, Ohio, North Carolina, Kansas, Texas, Alaska. No R flips.
Journalism
The final chapter was fun, but we shouldn't forget that there was precisely zero reason for the deep thoughts of Haley Stevens to be top stories on CNN and NYT for days.
Stevens was never a prominent Democrat. She was not an incumbent senator. She was a backbench member of Congress who lost a primary and such people are usually forgotten immediately.
She was only a story because many journalists are as Islamophobic as she is and were happy to platform her to get their own digs in.
Shooting The Dead
Important to understand everybody relevant in politics and journalism knew she was like this and yet somehow never said anything.
Sure Why Not
There a few buildings left standing in Gaza and the missiles are in them.
IDF officials assess that Hamas currently possesses hundreds of rockets, aided by smuggling from Israel. The developments come amid a diplomatic stalemate in Gaza, with officials saying Trump has lost interest in resolving the situation
Better safe than sorry!
Please Don't Let Me Hit The Ground
I won't claim I don't eye the polls, but I have detached myself from the emotional rollercoaster of them. As the election is tomorrow, here's some hopium.
Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find
Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found.
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