Monday, July 20, 2026

"Meddling"

Hakeem Jeffries, Chuck Schumer, and the various party organizations are not (in theory) in charge of selecting primary candidates. In practice things aren't so neat and nobody really denies that, but it does mean that they shouldn't be handed the presumption of power over the issue, either by journalists or, of course, themselves.
Sen. Bernie Sanders had just announced his intent to unseat a sitting House Democrat — this time, a member of the Congressional Black Caucus from North Carolina — when Rep. Hakeem Jeffries decided it was time to confront Sanders himself.

The House Democratic leader warned Sanders against meddling in House primaries, particularly one involving a Black Democrat, in such a critical midterm election year, according to three Democrats familiar with the conversation.

“He seemed to not care,” Rep. Greg Meeks of New York, a Jeffries ally who was also on the call, said of Sanders, recalling the previously unreported phone call. The intervention from those powerful Washington Democrats came just before incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee edged out her challenger, Nida Allam, in the March primary.

There is the norm of House members not trying to other House incumbents, and the same for Senators and the Senate, but we have recent examples of House members supporting challenges against sitting Senators.  Such as:

Speaker Nancy Pelosi endorsed Rep. Joe Kennedy in his Senate challenge Thursday, a surprise move that could provide a significant boost over incumbent Democratic Sen. Ed Markey as the contentious Massachusetts race comes to a close in less than two weeks.

Pelosi wasn't just some backbencher.  She was (as it says) Speaker!

Also this is internalizing some assumptions that aren't always true:

At the heart of the debate: whether to nominate candidates more friendly to the party establishment and seen as wooing swing voters, or to pick democratic socialists or further-left progressives who can energize a restive party base but who risk alienating independents.

Amusingly, the problem is actually right there in the text. I am open to the idea that candidates who are more "centrist" in some sense are better able to woo swing voters (though this is very debatable!), but there is basically no reason to think candidates who are "more friendly to the party establishment" are better able to do that.

The "party establishment" is notable for its ability to woo donors! These are not the same things.

 

17

During Afghanistan/Iraq, there were various ways in which the the magnitude and impact of US military deaths were minimized, but there was still a general weepy "our brave boys are sacrificing for our country" sentiment conveyed. Now it seems like none of this is real at all, as generally presented in The Discourse.
17 U.S. service members have been killed since the war in Iran began.
I am obviously not saying "the news isn't covering this." I just linked to the news covering this! But there is a way that things can dominate and set the tone of coverage, or not, and "US service members are dying" is not currently dominating coverage.


Going Well

Lindsey Graham would have enjoyed all of this so much.
DUBAI, July 20 (Reuters) - Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis on Monday declared ​a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia ‌effective immediately, their military spokesperson said in a televised speech.
The militant group announced "a maritime embargo ​against the criminal Saudi enemy, ​based on the equation of 'an eye for ⁠an eye' effective immediately upon the ​issuance of this statement."

Morning

Time to make the donuts.

Sunday, July 19, 2026

Sunday Evening

Maybe Spacex stock will tumble a bit more tomorrow!

SUMMER FUNDRAISING DAY FINAL!

If only Lindsey Graham was here to see this!

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Conservatives Are The Same Everywhere

Not sure if that is comforting or enraging.

A senior German politician and ally of the chancellor, Friedrich Merz, has resigned as parliamentary group leader of the Christian Democrat (CDU) party after he and his husband used a surrogate mother to become parents, a practice he has criticised in the past and his party is vehemently opposed to.

Surrogacy is banned in Germany, a policy Jens Spahn refused to relax when he was health minister in 2020, so he and his husband, Daniel Funke, used a surrogate mother in the US.

"Resolve"

That was a favorite word of W.

Godspeed, heroes,” Hegseth wrote on X while reposting a news release about the service member deaths. “Their sacrifice only stiffens our resolve,” he added.

At some point I started saying that the purpose of staying in Iraq was to kill everyone who wanted us to leave, at which point we would leave.

That was a sensible, well-defined mission compared to whatever this is.

"Stiffens our resolve" for what? To send more people to kill and die, but FOR what?

Morning

Sunday funday

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Never Bet Against Elon

Maybe it will all collapse, finally.

About 30 per cent of the roughly 640mn SpaceX shares available to trade have been borrowed to sell short, up 10 percentage points over the past 10 days, highlighting how traders are becoming increasingly sceptical of the company’s market prospects.

“Investor enthusiasm for SpaceX seems to have cooled,” said Dec Mullarkey, managing director of SLC Management. The company’s equities and bonds are suddenly “pricing in more risk”, he added.

...

About 900mn further SpaceX shares could become available to trade as soon as next month when certain lock-up provisions for pre-IPO investors expire. Traders who doubt there is sufficient demand for the deluge of extra equity are cashing out now as a result, market participants say.

“With more shares coming to market in August, [SpaceX] could announce that they’ve conquered the moon and found gold inside it and there still wouldn’t be enough money out there to buy the stock,” said the chief investment officer of a small North American hedge fund. His firm made $20mn shorting SpaceX earlier in July, he said.

This Is Excellent News For Florida Governor Ron DeSantis

Mostly linking to reminisce about the several month period during which Ron was the most important politician in America.
Still immensely popular among Florida Republicans but barred by term limits from seeking reelection, DeSantis has refused to hand the baton to Donalds and has spent months publicly and privately arguing the Naples congressman is unfit to replace him. He has even shared his reservations directly with Trump, according to a person close to DeSantis with knowledge of a recent conversation between the two.

SUMMER FUNDRAISING DAY 6

Real men go to Blogistan!

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Nothing Really Matters

I won't say very many positive things about the Iraq war era, but it was the case that people treated the whole thing with a degree of gravitas, or faux gravitas at least. Sure that was also a part of the marketing myth, and a reason for self-important pundits to gaze at their reflected importance, but there was still the fading notion that going to war was a big deal. People were going to die, and that mattered.

All the cable news NATION AT WAR graphics were toxic in their own way, but at least they acknowledged that it was actually a big deal

Morning

Slacker Saturday

Friday, July 17, 2026

Happy Hour

get happy

Sure Why Not

Iran does not fit neatly into the Epcot Pavilion. It is 4 times the size of California. I suspect a land invasion would be difficult.

At Least The War Is Over

Attacks on desalanization plants are potentially catastrophic.
Iranian strikes on Friday hit a power and water desalination plant in Kuwait, damaging one of the key sources of drinking water in the small desert nation.

FUNDRAISING DAY 5

It is a bit unfair that Elon is very rich and I am not even a little bit.

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OH NO ELON

What was advertised as a critical launch of Elon's rocket was not a go.

As I keep saying, betting against his shenanigans has long been a loser, but maybe this time!

Good Enough For Some Alito

I imagine that Foxbrained nutter was the real audience

None of the declassified information supports the claim that any previous election results — including the 2020 presidential contest that Trump lost — were manipulated by foreign interference or fraud in a way that would’ve changed the outcome. 

Instead, White House officials have framed the disclosures not as an attempt to re-litigate past elections, but rather as an attempt to correct vulnerabilities ahead of November’s midterm elections. That’s despite the fact that the second Trump administration has shuttered many federal organizations that were tracking and publicizing foreign influence campaigns. 

And White House officials suggested the information, some of which has been known for years, was withheld from senior top elected US officials, including Trump, for political purposes.

A decent article but "the president lies all the time about everything" should be baked deeply into all reporting and it just isn't.